Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 75.192536 83.745560 92.570717 102.334888 112.813112 123.698274 135.839016
2025-02-02 62.955968 75.620137 89.366489 105.300963 123.167334 142.488861 164.868976
2025-02-09 54.982665 69.662554 86.166635 105.905590 128.678894 153.942145 183.895593
2025-02-16 50.607875 67.077836 86.144593 109.536258 137.144488 168.386388 206.098117
2025-02-23 46.055320 63.679500 84.642922 110.961685 142.659775 179.160030 223.906207
2025-03-02 40.760483 58.838532 80.936243 109.317704 144.177649 184.992384 235.763660
2025-03-09 36.631577 55.075799 78.202711 108.532118 146.449892 191.506826 248.279264
2025-03-16 33.355058 52.125368 76.230350 108.456159 149.397779 198.698279 261.529768
2025-03-23 31.822071 51.357457 76.944409 111.689946 156.405663 210.821296 280.796490
2025-03-30 29.543796 49.375098 75.905279 112.532221 160.309382 219.089015 295.376155
2025-04-06 27.485760 47.537174 74.919126 113.325182 164.066735 227.135854 309.695189
2025-04-13 24.356993 43.910769 71.278825 110.388525 162.833602 228.794198 315.989840
2025-04-20 23.523103 43.674431 72.370680 113.911519 170.186293 241.532508 336.472794
2025-04-27 22.377709 42.884520 72.630171 116.279895 176.042519 252.441606 354.799683
2025-05-04 20.885034 41.432502 71.837238 117.106929 179.786950 260.615690 369.679434
2025-05-11 20.364508 41.483928 73.211272 120.967547 187.644239 274.180762 391.555776
2025-05-18 19.258775 40.496658 72.980652 122.505857 192.327828 283.623002 408.198008
2025-05-25 17.402603 38.114860 70.526190 120.739462 192.390168 286.938066 416.902508
2025-06-01 15.928003 36.263182 68.774435 119.896425 193.654413 291.796513 427.599789
2025-06-08 14.745887 34.828477 67.588492 119.814787 195.932971 297.985314 440.049649
2025-06-15 14.416419 34.906254 68.783894 123.285914 203.251218 310.993052 461.564356
2025-06-22 13.571870 33.968309 68.297922 124.189667 206.906643 319.071377 476.614380
2025-06-29 12.775162 33.056426 67.802749 125.040390 210.467416 327.028203 491.543114